Friday, May 7, 2010

Premier League Title Race Betting

The 2009/2010 Premier League season concludes this weekend with Chelsea leading Manchester United by one point. Will Chelsea cross the line and become the champions for the first time since 2006? Or will they fail to win at the weekend and give Man Utd the chance to claim their fourth straight title? BetRepublic.com previews both matches involving these two teams this weekend here.

Chelsea v Wigan Athletic Soccer Betting Tip:

Chelsea go into the match with a one point, and +9 goal difference, advantage over Manchester United. As a result of this, and the fact that they face a Wigan side that has lost thirteen of its eighteen away league matches this season, they are the favourites to claim the Premier League crown at odds of 1/12 with PaddyPower.com. Despite their poor away form this season, Wigan caused one of the shocks of the season by beating Chelsea 3-1 at the DW stadium last time they met. Will they cause another shock and cost Chelsea the title?

Chelsea have won sixteen of their eighteen home league matches this season, losing just once (2-4 to Man City) and drawing just once (3-3 v Everton) also. They have scored a massive sixty goals in front of their own fans at Stamford Bridge this season and they conceded just fourteen goals (with half of them coming against Everton and Man City in the two matches they did not win), keeping ten clean sheets.

Wigan have lost all of their last five away trips and have lost six of their last seven encounters on the road, with only a 1-1 draw against Sunderland giving them a point. Apart from an away win at Aston Villa on the opening day of the season, Wigan have only managed to beat Burnley and Wolves away from home and have picked up two draws – the aforementioned draw with Sunderland and a 2-2 draw with Stoke. They have kept just two clean sheets on their travels, winning both games, but have failed to score on six occasions. They also had the biggest beating of the season when they were beaten 9-1 by Spurs.

Wigan have nothing to play for and are not good on the road, while Chelsea have everything to play for and are almost unstoppable at Stamford Bridge. This does not bode well for the travelling side and see them taking a massive beating in this game.

BetRepublic.com NFL Betting Picks Recommends: Back Chelsea -2 on the match handicap market @ 3/4 and over 3.5 goals @ evens with William Hill.

Manchester United v Stoke City:

Alex Ferguson’s men have it all to do and they have to help that Wigan help them out in order to claim their fourth straight title and surpass Liverpool’s record of eighteen top division league wins. As a result of having it all to do PaddyPower.com have made the 13/2 outsiders to win the Premier League title this season. They have not looked at their best this season at times, but they will have to be at their best in order to stand a chance of winning the title. Will they do their part in the title race? Or will Stoke do Chelsea a favour and stop united winning?

Manchester United will be confident of beating a Stoke side that has failed to score against them in the three previous matchups between these two sides since Stoke returned to the top table of English football. United won 5-0 at Old Trafford last season and 1-0 and 2-0 at the Britannia Stadium. At Old Trafford this season Man Utd have won fifteen, drawn one and lost two of their eighteen league fixtures. Their two losses came against Chelsea and Aston Villa, while they dropped points against Sunderland as well. They have scored forty-eight goals in front of their own fans whilst conceding just twelve and keeping ten clean sheets.

Stoke have not being winning games on the road this season, but they have lost just six times. Of the other twelve games they have won four and drawn eight. They have managed just ten goals on the road, scoring more than one goal in a match just once and they have failed to score in nine of their eighteen away matches. They have, however, kept seven clean sheets away from home, but I can’t see them getting another one at Old Trafford.

As with the Chelsea game, Manchester United have everything to play for while their opponents have nothing to play for. While United are not a goal scoring machine like Chelsea they know how to find the net and I feel that they will do so again while keeping the run of Stoke failing to score against them going.

BetRepublic.com Recommends: Back Manchester United as the only team to score @ 4/7 and split your stakes on 2-0 @ 5/1 and 3-0 @ 9/2 with William Hill.

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